Any Predictions For Presidential Race 2024. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. As of the end of july 2024, assuming a biden gallup approval score of 40 percent and a continued rate of jobs growth between 1 and 2 percent, the model predicts.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Both are politically perilous for ms harris, and undercuts her argument that it is donald trump who would bring chaos to the oval office.